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Tuesday, July 03, 2007

60 HOMERS CLUB, 2007 SEASON


Craig Brazell had 7 homers in 30 games in the Texas League before being sent to the Pacific Coast League were he sofar has 23 homers in 54 games. His 30 home runs leads all players in all leagues. Since his totals are from two teams his stats won't count as a combined stat. His PHR would have been 50 (140 game season) thrid highest in all PRO BALL.
Alex Rodriguez remains eligible to start on Wed. after an injury on Mon. that took 24 hours to tell how well he would be doing. They probily will not use him much in the next week or so to make sure he is 100% and that will slow down his PHR quite a bit. He will need 2 homers in the next 5 days to have any chance at 50 homers this year. HR: 28 Games: 81 PHR: 56
Prince Fielder is also in a slump. He has 27 homers in 83 games for a PHR of 53.
The odds of someone hitting 60 homers this season I now put at 20%

Here are the home run leaders from 2001 - 2006. Random drug testing begain in 2003.

2001- B. Bonds 73, S. Sosa 64, L. Gonzalez 54, A. Rodriguez 54
2002- A. Rodriguez 57, J. Thome 52
2003- A. Rodriguez 47, J. Thome 47
2004- A. Beltre 48
2005- A. Jones 51
2006- R. Howard 58, D. Ortiz 54

So as you can see only 9 players in all of Pro Ball hit 50 or more HR's. Only 2 hit sixty or more and in 2003 when manditory drug testing started no body hit even 50 HR's. I think the evedence in clear. McGuire, Sosa and Bonds should not have the single season home run stats ever be allowed to stand in the Hall-of-Fame.

Bond will beat Aarons Home Run record this year, but not untill after the All Star break, as I told you before the season started, He only needed 22 at the start of the season, and I think he will not get 40 by years end. Unless he plays another year or two and maybe get to 600 homers, his record will always be suspect.

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