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Monday, March 31, 2008

2008 PROJECTED HOME RUN LEADERS.

Here are the PHR standings. Jim Thome leads and is on pace to hit 324 homers this season. We have a total of 24 players on pace to hit 80 or more home runs.

...player...................team..........gp.....hr.....PHR
Jim..Thome..................CWS............1......2.....324
Eric..Byrnes................ARI............1......1.....162
Miguel..Cabrera.............DET............1......1.....162
Jermaine..Dye...............CWS............1......1.....162
...Kosuke..Fukudome.........CHC............1......1.....162
...Alex..Gordon.............KC.............1......1.....162
...Carlos..Guillen..........DET............1......1.....162
...Franklin..Gutierrez......CLE............1......1.....162
Eric..Hinske................TB.............1......1.....162
Chipper..Jones..............ATL............1......1.....162
Jeff..Kent..................LAD............1......1.....162
Jimmy..Rollins..............PHI............1......1.....162
...Jiff..Salazar............ARI............1......1.....162
...Grady..Sizemore..........CLE............1......1.....162
...Chase..Utley.............PHI............1......1.....162
...Josh..Willingham.........FLA............1......1.....162
Chris..Young................ARI............1......1.....162
Emil..Brown.................OAK............2......1......81
Mark..Ellis.................OAK............2......1......81
Jack..Hannahah..............OAK............2......1......81
...Lastings..Milledge.......WAS............2......1......81
...Brandon..Moss............BOS............2......1......81
...Manny..Ramirez...........BOS............2......1......81
...Ryan..Zimmerman..........WSH............2......1......81

Friday, March 28, 2008

Home Run Stats as March 27, 2008

FIVE TIED FOR FIRST, ALL ON PACE TO HIT 80 HOME RUNS THIS YEAR.

HR GP PHR
. E Brown 1 2 80
OAK OF
1. M Ellis 1 2 80
OAK 2B
1. J Hannahan 1 2 80
OAK 3B
1. B Moss 1 2 80
BOS OF
1. M Ramirez 1 2 80
BOS OF

ODDS TO WIN 2008 HOME RUN TITLE ODDS TO HIT 60 OR MORE

RON HOWARD 5-1 15-1
ALEX RODRIGUEZ 6-1 18-1
DAVID ORTIZ 8-1 20-1
ALBERT PUJOLS 12-1 30-1
CARLOS PENA 15-1 50-1
ANY OF THE 5 ABOVE 30-1 150-1
RICK ANKIEL 20-1 50-1
VLADIMIR GUERRERO 20-1 60-1
JIM THOME 20-1 70-1
ANDRE ETHIER 20-1 80-1
PEDRO FELIZ 20-1 90-1
SAMMY SOSA 35-1 150-1
ANY OTHER AL PLAYER 6-1 100-1
ANY OTHER NL PLAYER 8-1 100-1
ANY MINOR L PLAYER 75-1 250-1

Sunday, March 23, 2008

CLUB MEMBERS HR STAT COMPARISON


Joe Bauman would be number one single season home run leader if he played 162 games?

This is a comparison of stats if all 60 Homers Club members had played 162 games.
...............................................ACTUAL... PHR for
year player.............................. HR... GP... 162 games

1954 Joe Willis Bauman........... 72..... 138..... 84.6
1926 John William Clabaugh... 62..... 121..... 82.9

1948 Robert F. Crues............... 69 .....140..... 79.9
2001 Berry Bonds.................... 73..... 153..... 77.3

1998 Mark McGuire................ 70..... 155..... 73.2
1933 Joseph John Hauser........ 69 .....153 .....73.1

1956 Kenneth Adam Guettler... 62 .....140 .....71.8
1999 Mark McGuire............... 65..... 153..... 68.9

1956 Forrest Edward Kennedy. 60..... 144..... 67.6
1998 Sammy Sosa.................. 66..... 159..... 67.2

1954 Robert Albert Lemmon... 64..... 158..... 65.6
1927 George Herman Ruth..... 60..... 151..... 64.8

2001 Sammy Sosa.................. 64..... 160..... 64.8
1999 Sammy Sosa.................. 63..... 162..... 63.0

1961 Roger Eugene Maris........ 61..... 161..... 61.4
1930 Joseph John Hauser........ 63..... 168..... 60.8

If Bonds had played in 162 games in 2001 he would only be fourth on the single season HR list?

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Top home run contenders for 2008

These are the top five home run hitters from 2007.

A. Rodriquez...54
P. Fielder...50
R. Howard...47
C. Pena...46
A. Dunn...40

Mike Hessman is in camp on the 40 man roster with the TIGERS. R. Ankiel is fighting for a starting job with St. Lewis. Both Ankiel and Hessman were top Home Run hitters in 2007 in AAA minors.

Other AAA contenders are (2007 HRS.): Donny Leon (31), Julian Yan (30), Valentino Pascocci (34), Craig Brazell (32), Scott Saebol (32) and Scott McClain (31).

Look for Ron Howard and Alex Rodriquez to slug it out for the HR title, but doubt anyone gets to 55 this year.

Look for M. Hessman (unless he gets the call) and Craig Brazell to fight it out for the HR lead in the minors. These guys have a very tough time getting anywhere near 60 homers for two reasons, 1. they have about 20 fewer games are played. 2. If they start to hit the long ball they get the call to the big show.

One last thought, if R. Howard had stayed healthy and not missed so many games, his PHR stat would have been 58, ahead of Rodriquez. Ron Howard is my pick for the HR title.